Counterexample CE-SCORE-ERROR-RHO-MIN-NECESSARY-001

What it falsifies

The relative/log reporting gap between the reported (proxy) geometric-mean retention and the true retention of the same frozen label map admits a bound that depends only on an upper bound on the Fisher-whitened score error epsilon, uniformly over laws and rules. Refuted: in the family below epsilon^2 = kappa^2 / (10 V_22) = kappa^2/(9+delta^2) stays within [0.026, 0.028] while the proxy-to-true retention ratio grows without bound as the least retained eigenvalue rho_min -> 0 (delta -> 0). The retention-weighted error epsilon_R^2 = E[e_Z^T I_Z^{-1} e_Z] <= epsilon_Z^2 / rho_min of SCORE-ERROR-RETENTION-BUDGET is the right scale.

CE-SCORE-ERROR-RHO-MIN-NECESSARY-001: labels before, 5 atoms in 3 cells-1-0.50000.5001-1-0.50000.5001score 1score 2
Labels before
  • Cell 0
  • Cell 1
  • Cell 2
Atoms of CE-SCORE-ERROR-RHO-MIN-NECESSARY-001
AtomWeightScore 1Score 2Cell before
11/4110
21/41-10
37/40-111
49/40-1-11
51/10-11/22

Objective

The criterion value at each labelling, exactly as the fixture certifies it.

LabellingObjective
Labels beforetrue det ratio 5/148 (eta_D = 0.183804)
Labels afterproxy det ratio 83/798 (eta_tilde_D = 0.322506)

How it was verified

Method: exact_formula.

All moments in fractions.Fraction; E[s] = 0 exactly in every member; eta_D and the ratio are square roots of exact rationals (d = 2). The B1/B2 inequalities of SCORE-ERROR-RETENTION-BUDGET hold on every member (checks_all_true); only their epsilon-alone reading fails. For fixed kappa>0 and delta->0, I_Z,22=delta^2/8, V_22=(9+delta^2)/10; det I_tilde_Z tends to 9 kappa^2/100 and det V_tilde tends to 9/10+9 kappa^2/100. Thus the ratio diverges while eps<=kappa/3. This refutes relative/log control, not the universal absolute bound |eta_tilde-eta|<=1.

Claims that cite it

Recorded 8 September 2026. The fixture as JSON.